Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.