SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southport in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Leamington FC |
40.38% ( 0.03) | 28.77% | 30.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.75% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.02) | 61.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.54% ( -0.02) | 81.45% ( 0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.01) | 29.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( 0.01) | 65.99% ( -0.02) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.04) | 36.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0.04) | 72.95% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.84% |
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