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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Marine AFC |
47.36% ( 3.99) | 26.43% ( -0.93) | 26.21% ( -3.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% ( 1.85) | 55.37% ( -1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( 1.5) | 76.57% ( -1.5) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( 2.78) | 23.38% ( -2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( 3.88) | 57.36% ( -3.88) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -1.47) | 36.47% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% ( -1.51) | 73.26% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Marine AFC |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 9% ( 0.77)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.54)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.3)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.63)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -1.01) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.71)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.31)Other @ 1.85% Total : 26.21% |
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