Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
