SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | South Shields |
44.88% ( 0.32) | 24.13% ( -0.13) | 30.99% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( 0.49) | 43.07% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( 0.49) | 65.47% ( -0.49) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0.33) | 19.38% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.82% ( 0.55) | 51.18% ( -0.55) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( 0.12) | 26.56% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( 0.16) | 61.78% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | South Shields |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 31% |
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