Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 71.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Willand Rovers had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Willand Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.