SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
39.21% ( 2.72) | 25.89% ( 0.57) | 34.9% ( -3.3) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -2.7) | 49.84% ( 2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -2.47) | 71.84% ( 2.47) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( 0.24) | 24.99% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( 0.34) | 59.64% ( -0.34) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -3.13) | 27.43% ( 3.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( -4.24) | 62.91% ( 4.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 1.06) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.56)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.37)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.9% |
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