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National League North | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 2
Peterborough Sports

Preston (37'), Rhead (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fryatt (57'), Lawler (87' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawPeterborough Sports
39.21% (2.723 2.72) 25.89% (0.575 0.57) 34.9% (-3.297 -3.3)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-2.164 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.16% (-2.704 -2.7)49.84% (2.704 2.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (-2.467 -2.47)71.84% (2.468 2.47)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.24299999999999 0.24)24.99% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.338 0.34)59.64% (-0.337 -0.34)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (-3.13 -3.13)27.43% (3.131 3.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (-4.237 -4.24)62.91% (4.236 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 39.21%
    Peterborough Sports 34.9%
    Draw 25.89%
Alfreton TownDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 9.5% (1.063 1.06)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.302 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.777 0.78)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.379 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.722 0.72)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.401 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.556 -0.56)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.421 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.366 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.301 -0.3)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Alfreton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 Chorley
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-3 Alfreton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 4-0 Southport
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 3-2 Banbury
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 4-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-2 King's Lynn
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 2-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 3-2 Chester
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North


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