SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brackley Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Gloucester City | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Chester FC | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Kettering Town | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 7 | -7 | 6 |
| 22 | Farsley Celtic | 7 | -5 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | AFC Telford United |
40.17% ( -0.05) | 26% ( -0) | 33.83% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( 0.03) | 50.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.02) | 72.41% ( -0.02) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.01) | 24.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.02) | 59.33% ( 0.02) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0.05) | 28.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( 0.06) | 64.15% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.83% |
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