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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radcliffe | Draw | Warrington Town |
49.61% ( 0.19) | 22.24% ( -0.03) | 28.15% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 64.11% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0.03) | 35.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.11% ( 0.03) | 57.89% ( -0.03) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.2% ( 0.08) | 14.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.92% ( 0.14) | 43.08% ( -0.14) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.08) | 24.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( -0.12) | 59.33% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radcliffe | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.15% |
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