Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
