SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
31.51% ( -0.09) | 25.42% ( -0) | 43.06% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.02) | 48.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.02) | 70.76% ( 0.02) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( -0.07) | 28.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( -0.09) | 64.87% ( 0.08) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( 0.03) | 22.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( 0.05) | 56.08% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.06% |
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