Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.