Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
43.71% ( -0.01) | 26.3% ( -0.01) | 30% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% ( 0.04) | 52.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( 0.03) | 74.5% ( -0.03) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% ( 0.02) | 24.05% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.68% ( 0.02) | 58.32% ( -0.02) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.81% ( 0.03) | 32.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.32% ( 0.03) | 68.68% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Chorley | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.7% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: