Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
52.94% ( 0.23) | 23.84% ( -0.1) | 23.22% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% ( 0.29) | 47.53% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.27) | 69.74% ( -0.26) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% ( 0.2) | 17.91% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.3% ( 0.33) | 48.7% ( -0.32) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% ( 0.05) | 34.81% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( 0.05) | 71.54% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.22% |
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