Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
47.13% ( 3.62) | 27.86% ( -1.32) | 25% ( -2.3) |
Both teams to score 43.82% ( 1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.88% ( 3) | 61.11% ( -2.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.92% ( 2.19) | 81.08% ( -2.18) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( 3.31) | 26.05% ( -3.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.91% ( 4.25) | 61.09% ( -4.25) |
Bishop's Stortford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.26% ( -0.33) | 40.74% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.68% ( -0.3) | 77.32% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
1-0 @ 14.27% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.29) Other @ 1.98% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( -1.25) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -1.22) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.28% Total : 25% |
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