SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
43.68% ( 0.02) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 29.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.85% ( 0.03) | 53.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( 0.03) | 74.72% ( -0.03) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.02) | 24.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% ( 0.03) | 58.5% ( -0.03) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( 0.01) | 32.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% ( 0.01) | 68.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
