SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Buxton |
48.82% ( 0.29) | 26.36% ( 0.32) | 24.81% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% ( -1.61) | 56.08% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.84% ( -1.32) | 77.16% ( 1.32) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.55) | 23.02% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -0.81) | 56.83% ( 0.81) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% ( -1.43) | 38.09% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( -1.41) | 74.86% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.6% Total : 24.81% |
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