Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Southport |
70.53% ( 0.16) | 17.67% ( -0.08) | 11.81% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.16% ( 0.15) | 39.84% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% ( 0.15) | 62.2% ( -0.15) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.9% ( 0.08) | 10.1% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.74% ( 0.18) | 33.26% ( -0.17) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.96% ( -0.03) | 44.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.85% ( -0.03) | 80.15% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Southport |
2-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 70.51% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.67% | 0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: