SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
45.5% ( 1.1) | 24.78% ( -0.67) | 29.72% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( 1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( 2.68) | 46.63% ( -2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( 2.46) | 68.9% ( -2.46) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 1.61) | 20.56% ( -1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( 2.49) | 53.08% ( -2.49) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( 1.05) | 29.18% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% ( 1.28) | 65.13% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.71)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.72% |
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