SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Southport had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
30.49% ( -0.11) | 26.7% ( -0.1) | 42.81% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( 0.34) | 54.26% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( 0.28) | 75.65% ( -0.28) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.1) | 32.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( 0.11) | 69.07% ( -0.11) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( 0.25) | 25.11% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% ( 0.35) | 59.81% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.81% |
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