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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
45.83% ( 0.21) | 26.37% ( -0.01) | 27.8% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% ( -0.07) | 54.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.06) | 75.62% ( 0.05) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( 0.07) | 23.6% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0.11) | 57.68% ( -0.11) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( -0.2) | 34.55% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( -0.21) | 71.27% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.8% |
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