SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
51.28% ( -0.07) | 23.76% ( 0.01) | 24.95% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.01) | 45.52% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.01) | 67.85% ( -0) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.02) | 17.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( -0.04) | 48.48% ( 0.04) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( 0.05) | 32.21% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( 0.06) | 68.7% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.95% |
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