Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
