SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Banbury United |
28.21% ( -0.74) | 26.34% ( 0.15) | 45.45% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( -0.98) | 53.88% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( -0.83) | 75.33% ( 0.83) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -1.09) | 34.05% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( -1.19) | 70.73% ( 1.19) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.15) | 23.64% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( -0.21) | 57.73% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.44% |
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