SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Spennymoor Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Brackley Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Peterborough Sports | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Spennymoor Town | 7 | -1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
48.44% ( 0.21) | 25.77% ( -0.1) | 25.79% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( 0.29) | 53.14% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 0.25) | 74.71% ( -0.25) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( 0.22) | 21.95% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( 0.32) | 55.23% ( -0.33) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( 0.06) | 35.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( 0.06) | 72.39% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.79% |
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