SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
36.72% ( 0.08) | 25.82% ( -0.02) | 37.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( 0.09) | 49.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.08) | 71.43% ( -0.08) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.09) | 26.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( 0.11) | 61.22% ( -0.11) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.01) | 25.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( 0.02) | 60.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.45% |
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