SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn Town | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Banbury United | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Fylde | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hereford United | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Southport | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Buxton | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Southport |
58.44% ( 0.16) | 22.88% ( -0.13) | 18.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.49) | 49.06% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.44) | 71.14% ( -0.44) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( 0.22) | 16.48% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% ( 0.41) | 46.19% ( -0.41) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% ( 0.25) | 40.28% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% ( 0.23) | 76.9% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 18.67% |
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