Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
