Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Guiseley win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
