SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
28.95% ( -2.01) | 23.82% ( -1.26) | 47.23% ( 3.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( 3.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( 4.62) | 42.75% ( -4.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( 4.44) | 65.15% ( -4.43) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( 0.96) | 27.75% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.67% ( 1.22) | 63.33% ( -1.22) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( 3.27) | 18.29% ( -3.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.65% ( 5.28) | 49.35% ( -5.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -1.22)2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.35)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -1.11)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.88)0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.67)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.51)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.47)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.33)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.34)Other @ 3.55% Total : 47.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Tamworth | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | South Shields | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 |
| 6 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Chorley | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| 8 | Chester FCChester | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 29 |
| 11 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | SouthportSouthport | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Blyth Spartans | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 27 |
| 15 | Buxton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 26 |
| 16 | Warrington Town | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 |
| 17 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 |
| 18 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Rushall Olympic | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 22 |
| 22 | Darlington | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 16 |
| 23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 14 |
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