SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Darlington |
46.81% ( 0.09) | 25.26% ( -0.03) | 27.93% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( 0.1) | 49.69% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0.09) | 71.71% ( -0.09) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.08) | 21.24% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( 0.12) | 54.15% ( -0.12) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.01) | 32.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.01) | 68.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.81% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.93% |
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