Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
43.21% ( 0.04) | 25.61% ( -0.01) | 31.18% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.42% ( 0.01) | 49.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% ( 0.01) | 71.61% ( -0.01) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( 0.02) | 22.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( 0.03) | 56.58% ( -0.03) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% ( -0.02) | 29.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% ( -0.02) | 65.73% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.21% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.18% |
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