SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | South Shields |
43.06% ( -1.84) | 25.07% ( 0.45) | 31.88% ( 1.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% ( -1.4) | 46.97% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( -1.33) | 69.22% ( 1.33) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -1.42) | 21.81% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( -2.2) | 55.02% ( 2.21) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.22) | 27.92% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( 0.28) | 63.54% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | South Shields |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.06% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.88% |
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