SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
48.64% ( 0.02) | 24.63% ( -0) | 26.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.01) | 47.85% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.01) | 19.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% ( 0.01) | 51.73% ( -0.01) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( -0.01) | 32.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( -0.01) | 68.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.73% |
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