SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
51.18% ( -1.93) | 23.76% ( 0.36) | 25.06% ( 1.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -0.07) | 45.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.07) | 67.78% ( 0.07) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.74) | 17.79% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( -1.3) | 48.5% ( 1.3) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( 1.29) | 32.08% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% ( 1.45) | 68.56% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.06% |
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