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National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mariners Park

South Shields
1 - 0
Buxton

Blackett (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between South Shields and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Tamworth
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-1 Buxton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Shields in this match.

Result
South ShieldsDrawBuxton
51.13% (-2.397 -2.4) 25.72% (0.813 0.81) 23.15% (1.584 1.58)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-1.543 -1.54)55.05% (1.543 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-1.287 -1.29)76.31% (1.287 1.29)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-1.608 -1.61)21.57% (1.608 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (-2.53 -2.53)54.66% (2.531 2.53)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.683 0.68)39.06% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (0.638 0.64)75.77% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    South Shields 51.13%
    Buxton 23.15%
    Draw 25.71%
South ShieldsDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 12.92% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.341 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.285 -0.29)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.23 -0.23)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.492 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.6 0.6)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Tamworth
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 South Shields
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 2-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-2 South Shields
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-1 Buxton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Tamworth
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-3 Buxton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North


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