SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
41.92% ( -6.9) | 25.75% ( 1.06) | 32.33% ( 5.84) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -1.5) | 49.78% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( -1.35) | 71.79% ( 1.35) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -3.75) | 23.56% ( 3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -5.73) | 57.63% ( 5.73) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 3.43) | 29.01% ( -3.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( 4.05) | 64.91% ( -4.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.64)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -1.28)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.86)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -1.1)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.53)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.6)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.97)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1.16)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.65)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.63)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.33% |
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