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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
3 - 1
Spennymoor

Turner (8', 15'), Newton (25')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ramshaw (52')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawSpennymoor Town
41.92% (-6.902 -6.9) 25.75% (1.057 1.06) 32.33% (5.843 5.84)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-1.497 -1.5)49.78% (1.493 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-1.354 -1.35)71.79% (1.351 1.35)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-3.751 -3.75)23.56% (3.746 3.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-5.733 -5.73)57.63% (5.729 5.73)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (3.432 3.43)29.01% (-3.436 -3.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (4.054 4.05)64.91% (-4.058 -4.06)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 41.92%
    Spennymoor Town 32.33%
    Draw 25.74%
Brackley TownDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.644 -0.64)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-1.282 -1.28)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.857 -0.86)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-1.103 -1.1)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.531 -0.53)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.596 -0.6)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.405 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.133 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.46% (1.222 1.22)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.974 0.97)
0-2 @ 5.24% (1.162 1.16)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.647 0.65)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.254 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.631 0.63)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.27 0.27)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Warrington Town
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-3 Brackley Town
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 3-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Chester
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-0 Spennymoor
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North


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