SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | South Shields |
39.87% ( 0.67) | 26.39% ( 0.11) | 33.74% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% ( -0.55) | 52.1% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( -0.48) | 73.83% ( 0.48) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.11) | 25.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( 0.15) | 60.57% ( -0.14) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.76) | 29.24% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( -0.94) | 65.2% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | South Shields |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.74% |
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