Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brackley Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
54.64% ( 3.27) | 24.6% ( -0.89) | 20.76% ( -2.38) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% ( 0.99) | 53.2% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( 0.84) | 74.77% ( -0.83) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 1.72) | 19.4% ( -1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( 2.74) | 51.22% ( -2.74) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.6% ( -1.81) | 40.4% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.98% ( -1.69) | 77.02% ( 1.69) |
Score Analysis |
Brackley Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.76% |
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