Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.32) 
