SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Alfreton Town |
26.76% ( -0.21) | 27.22% ( -0.11) | 46.02% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% ( 0.26) | 57.94% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% ( 0.21) | 78.64% ( -0.21) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.04) | 37.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.79% ( -0.04) | 74.2% ( 0.03) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.28) | 25.15% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( 0.38) | 59.87% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 26.76% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.02% |
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