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National League North | Gameweek 38
Apr 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Horsfall Stadium
AT

Bradford Park Av
3 - 0
Alfreton

Longbottom (6', 41'), Fielding (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Bradford Park Avenue and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bradford Park AvenueDrawAlfreton Town
26.76% (-0.213 -0.21) 27.22% (-0.107 -0.11) 46.02% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 46.84% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06% (0.262 0.26)57.94% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (0.206 0.21)78.64% (-0.208 -0.21)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.79% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)74.2% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.27600000000001 0.28)25.15% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.378 0.38)59.87% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Bradford Park Avenue 26.76%
    Alfreton Town 46.02%
    Draw 27.22%
Bradford Park AvenueDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 26.76%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 12.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.97% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.02%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-0 Banbury
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 King's Lynn
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Alfreton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Leamington
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North


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