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National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mariners Park
AT

South Shields
3 - 1
Alfreton

Martin (54'), Abbey (64', 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brisley (63')
Wiley (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between South Shields and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Shields 3-4 Sunderland
Saturday, July 8 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Shields would win this match.

Result
South ShieldsDrawAlfreton Town
40.31% (0.664 0.66) 26.13% (-0.231 -0.23) 33.56% (-0.435 -0.44)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.652 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92% (0.88 0.88)51.07% (-0.879 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (0.765 0.77)72.93% (-0.767 -0.77)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.754 0.75)24.96% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (1.036 1.04)59.6% (-1.038 -1.04)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.155 0.16)28.85% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (0.193 0.19)64.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    South Shields 40.31%
    Alfreton Town 33.56%
    Draw 26.13%
South ShieldsDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 10% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: South Shields 3-4 Sunderland
Saturday, July 8 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: South Shields 0-2 Forest Green
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 South Shields
Saturday, November 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 3-0 Alfreton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North


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