Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Telford United | Draw | Kettering Town |
44.45% ( -0.89) | 26.29% ( 0.22) | 29.26% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 51.15% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.85% ( -0.56) | 53.15% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( -0.48) | 74.73% ( 0.48) |
AFC Telford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( -0.67) | 23.8% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.03% ( -0.97) | 57.97% ( 0.97) |
Kettering Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( 0.21) | 32.87% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( 0.23) | 69.44% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Telford United | Draw | Kettering Town |
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.26% |
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