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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Banbury United |
19.35% ( 1.03) | 21.88% ( 0.61) | 58.77% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -1.13) | 43.81% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( -1.12) | 66.2% ( 1.12) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( 0.46) | 36.48% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( 0.46) | 73.26% ( -0.46) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( -0.88) | 14.58% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.35% ( -1.72) | 42.65% ( 1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.35% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.77% |
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