SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | AFC Telford United |
54.02% ( 0) | 24.31% ( -0.01) | 21.67% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.04) | 51.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.04) | 72.91% ( -0.03) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.02) | 18.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( 0.03) | 50.25% ( -0.02) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.03) | 38.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( 0.03) | 75% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.67% |
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