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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
38.7% ( -0.23) | 26.82% ( 0.06) | 34.48% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( -0.23) | 53.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( -0.19) | 75.23% ( 0.2) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.24) | 27.07% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.31) | 62.44% ( 0.32) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% | 29.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( 0) | 65.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.48% |
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