SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Aveley |
49.7% ( 0.09) | 21.55% ( -0) | 28.74% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 67.19% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.05) | 31.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.47% ( -0.06) | 53.53% ( 0.06) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( 0.01) | 13.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( 0.02) | 40.3% ( -0.02) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( -0.08) | 22.43% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% ( -0.11) | 55.95% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Aveley |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.74% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
