SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | St Albans City |
35.96% ( 0.03) | 25.2% ( 0) | 38.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.01) | 46.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.01) | 68.89% ( 0.01) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( 0.01) | 25.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( 0.01) | 60.05% ( -0.02) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.02) | 23.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -0.03) | 57.85% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.84% |
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