SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Aveley |
48.93% ( 0.07) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 26.57% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.07) | 47.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( 0.07) | 69.59% ( -0.07) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( 0.06) | 19.41% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% ( 0.09) | 51.23% ( -0.1) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0) | 31.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( 0) | 68.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.57% |
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