SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Oxford City |
30.48% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( 0.05) | 44.6% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.21) | 46.92% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( -0.2) | 69.17% ( 0.2) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.08) | 28.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.1) | 64.67% ( 0.1) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.13) | 21.08% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( -0.2) | 53.9% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.6% |
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