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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 1
Oxford City

Edwards (49'), Wilson (53' pen.)
Dyer (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Parker (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-2 Bath City
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawOxford City
30.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 24.93% (0.052 0.05) 44.6% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.214 -0.21)46.92% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.2 -0.2)69.17% (0.199 0.2)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)28.82% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)64.67% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.131 -0.13)21.08% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.205 -0.2)53.9% (0.204 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 30.48%
    Oxford City 44.6%
    Draw 24.92%
Bath CityDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hungerford 1-2 Bath City
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 4-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Bath City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-5 Oxford City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Oxford City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South


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