SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Bath City |
29.81% ( 0.22) | 25.58% ( -0.15) | 44.6% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.71) | 50.05% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( 0.63) | 72.02% ( -0.63) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( 0.52) | 30.86% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( 0.61) | 67.14% ( -0.61) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 0.27) | 22.39% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( 0.4) | 55.9% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 29.81% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.6% |
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